Recent Insights

It’s Never about Capital!

It’s Never about Capital!

Since Silicon Valley Bank’s demise, many of the usual suspects have been yapping and editorializing about the importance of capital and capital ratios, but it’s never about capital. It’s always about liquidity!

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SR 15-18 vs SR 15-19 vs HCR – What Are the Differences?

SR 15-18 vs SR 15-19 vs HCR – What Are the Differences?

Below, we summarize the guidance and analyze the recent revisions to the tailoring framework. We focus on CCAR Supervisory Expectations for Category I (US GSIBs) vs. Category II or III (≥ $250B total assets) banks but also mention Category IV banks a…

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Thoughts on Silicon Valley Bank

Thoughts on Silicon Valley Bank

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Spero Risk President Interviewed on Risk Management Podcast

Spero Risk President Interviewed on Risk Management Podcast

Matt and Andy talked about best practices for managing risk and trends in the industry and how Andy built a career in this fast-growing area, plus, what advice he has for those just starting out.

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The Seven Principles of an Effective Capital Adequacy Process

The Seven Principles of an Effective Capital Adequacy Process

Spero Risk Associates has substantial experience with all aspects of CCAR, especially model development and validation. We have asked the questions, and we have successfully answered when others have asked. The seven principles of an effective cap…

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Three Components of Validation

Three Components of Validation

We like to think of the three main components of validation like Cerebus – validation encompasses the past, present, and future. 1. Evaluation of conceptual soundness, including developmental evidence. 2. Ongoing monitoring, including process verif…

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Anticipated and Unanticipated Benefits of Loss-Forecasting

Anticipated and Unanticipated Benefits of Loss-Forecasting

In anticipated direct events, identification and use of risk mitigants mean better preparation to reduce losses in analyzed situations: Precautions or ex ante actions that reduce the possibility of the considered situation occurring Insurance…

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Learning Opportunities from “A Christmas Story”

Learning Opportunities from “A Christmas Story”

Learning is a benefit that is important enough to describe separately!  Like much financial and credit model development, scenario analysis is research as much as development or construction.  Scenario analysis leads to a better understanding of the …

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SR 12-7 and the Five Principles of Stress Testing

If CCAR/DFAST is the extent of a firm’s stress testing, then, (a) the firm does not comply with SR 12-7, particularly Principles 1 and 2, and therefore, Principle 5; (b) there are likely deficiencies in overall risk management and data governance/sys…

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