Recent Insights

Will More Bank Regulation Reduce Share Prices?

Will More Bank Regulation Reduce Share Prices?

During a recent Q&A session with investors and analysts, Andy was asked, “how much will bank earnings suffer because of the anticipated increased regulatory burden after SVB?” The implication was that more regulation increases expenses and/or reduces…

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Bank Regulation after SVB

Bank Regulation after SVB

ow are our nine initial impressions of the Fed’s report.1  All emboldening is ours. Our citations are not exhaustive nor are they necessarily exclusive to one impression, only, but we only show a citation once. Overall, anticipate more supervision—mo…

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How Do Hurricanes Affect Mortgage Losses?

How Do Hurricanes Affect Mortgage Losses?

There has been much discussion about the effects of climate change and extreme weather on banks' loan portfolios, and there seems to be a strong interest among both regulators and bankers to develop stress tests around such events. Moreover, modelers…

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It’s Never about Capital!

It’s Never about Capital!

Since Silicon Valley Bank’s demise, many of the usual suspects have been yapping and editorializing about the importance of capital and capital ratios, but it’s never about capital. It’s always about liquidity!

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SR 15-18 vs SR 15-19 vs HCR

SR 15-18 vs SR 15-19 vs HCR

Below, we summarize the guidance and analyze the recent revisions to the tailoring framework. We focus on CCAR Supervisory Expectations for Category I (US GSIBs) vs. Category II or III (≥ $250B total assets) banks but also mention Category IV banks a…

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Thoughts on Silicon Valley Bank

Thoughts on Silicon Valley Bank

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Spero Risk President Interviewed on Risk Management Podcast

Spero Risk President Interviewed on Risk Management Podcast

Matt and Andy talked about best practices for managing risk and trends in the industry and how Andy built a career in this fast-growing area, plus, what advice he has for those just starting out.

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The Seven Principles of an Effective Capital Adequacy Process

The Seven Principles of an Effective Capital Adequacy Process

Spero Risk Associates has substantial experience with all aspects of CCAR, especially model development and validation. We have asked the questions, and we have successfully answered when others have asked. The seven principles of an effective cap…

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Three Components of Validation

Three Components of Validation

We like to think of the three main components of validation like Cerebus – validation encompasses the past, present, and future. 1. Evaluation of conceptual soundness, including developmental evidence. 2. Ongoing monitoring, including process verif…

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